Quote Originally Posted by hikerbrian View Post
Excellent article. Uncertainty is a concept most people have a very difficult time with. And it does go both ways. Look at the storm that's winding down now: On Wednesday, my town (Sharon, MA) was predicted to get little, if any, accumulation. Thursday morning, the forecast rapidly changed to "as much as 8-12" total accumulation." Fast forward another 24 hrs: with two feet on the ground now and it still snowing, it's safe to say they underestimated this one. That's how it goes. Weather is a complicated phenomenon, and computer models are only as accurate as the data that HUMANS put in and the weighting functions that HUMANS apply. This is true of all computer models, not just those that deal with meteorology.
Funny!sort of,if you like snow..Told some folks in Manchester we had close to a foot 20 minutes south of the city,they thought I was joking.Lots of people were happy they got the day off yesterday in mass.Just saw one amount of close to 30 inches in mass!!thats a shalacking/pasting....