Hotel on Mt Washington??!!

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Yes, the economics of the summit are confusing. People see what they see and hear what they hear, all within a confirmation bias depending on what they think they already know.

The State has had NHSP staff full time on the summit for many, many , many years, more like DECADES. They are there not exclusively there for S&R, but for the building infrastructure that includes heat, electrical power, water and septic. The generators are still there, and necessary for when power from the valley quits. They are there to make sure the septic system doesn't fail. Each of the NHSP personnel on the summit are fully trained to bring the generators on line, and to manage and trouble shoot the septic system. MWOBS leases their space in the Sherman Adams building, and their lease specifies that the utilites will be provide by the State. In the winter, there are 2 NHSP staff to maintain the required infrastructure.

OBS has the big white Bombardier 10 pax snow-cat. The State has a small ancient ( green) Thiokol 2 person tracked cat, and @ 5 years ago, they lucked into a larger " cat " ( used from a ski area) with a push-blade that seats 3 plus operator. That one is bright yellow.

The ONE person who knows the most about summit operations, Mike Pelchat, has just retired, and there is no one else with his experience or knowledge in the pipeline. If I were to name another person even CLOSE to Mike's knowledge about summit ops, and JUST/ONLY in relation to the Sherman Adams Building I'd have to go back to Ken Rancourt, former director of MWOBS, and he retired @ 5 years ago.

So, there is a wide open and very deep trench of < who knows what the real scoop) is when brought up by Presby and Co.

Obs staff in relation to S&R are on their own, because it is totally volunteer service for them. If they feel they are not qualified for search and rescue, they are certainly in no way required or pressured to serve.

Fact of the matter is, on the east flank of MW, USFS is the responsible party for winter S&R, and ALL other assistance is " volunteer".

Three years ago, and for 2 years running, both the Auto Road and the Cog provided " tickets" to their riders to be used at the summit as a means of keeping track of the " paid" guests vs the walk-in guests. That went nowhere, because the tickets were left in the car, left on the train, tossed in a wastebasket or left on a table with coffee cups and soda cans. Just more paper to be lugged down the hill in trash.

It does remain to be seen what happens when public comment is opened for this proposal.
 
Hmmh, I thought the state moved staff in year round over the winter after the generator fire, I remember seeing some complaints about the added cost for the winter staffing in some Mt Washington Commission minutes in the past.
 
I think the argument that the hotel will take pressure off the summit is a stretch at best. Nobody is going to go to the hotel and stop there. At some point, the highlight of their trip will be to visit the summit. I have no horse in this race, to be honest, it won't effect me either way. I've always accepted the mountain for what it is, this is just another ring in the circus to me. I haven't signed any petitions and don't plan too.
 
The whole economics of the summit are confusing. Presby's claim is the state park runs at a loss yet there are two profitable tourist businesses whose success is directly related to the summit and what Presby described as numerous public and private telecom towers on the summit.

Presby's claim is correct, as far as state bookkeeping goes; the Mount Washington State Park has been represented as a loss. That said, the state does some accounting techniques that no private sector business could ever get away with. For instance, the state represents Cannon as a "profitable" (in good snow years) business by offloading millions of dollars of expenses to Sunapee and DOT. Presby is well aware of the state's accounting tactics, as he was reportedly the winning bidder to rebuild Cannon's crumbling infrastructure at not cost to taxpayers back in 1998 (a bureaucrat yanked his winning bid just prior to stepping on stage to announce it).

Presby is also well aware of the government politics on Mt. Washington, as his original Cog skiing plan was shot down when the Forest Service stationed rangers to stop Cog passengers from skiing in the 1980s: https://books.google.com/books?id=Ov9J-VEW5LEC&pg=PA62#v=onepage&q&f=false

One weekend last spring, skiers arriving at the top by cog rail (and via the Mt. Washington Auto Road) saw a line of Rangers deployed along the White Mountain National Forest border like custom guards strung along the Rio Grande. Skiers go to play illegals, ordered to turn back or be arrested, a scene without precedent in the history of U.S. skiing.

"Ironic. The Forest Service says we can ride to the top on the train. And it says it's okay to ski down the mountain. But it says, 'Don't do both on the same day.'"
 
When all else fails and the grid drops out we will all be glad someone is at the summit connecting the dots.

I don't quite get this. Who'll be connecting dots?

I don't think the Obs staff has any skill/training in maintaining sophisticated comm gear. They work hard to keep the web cams (esp Wildcat's) online.

Without MTW on the summit is there a broadcast eng or RF person available on a daily basis.

WRT Research: Of the 5 projects listed on the web site, only one involves an external (to NH) entity. Most are UNH system-related.

Like space exploration, the summit Obs could probably be automated, especially if a non-mechanical wind speed measurement system (doppler?) was available. Keeping a crew of 5 people alive and comfortable in that environment is very expensive. And lacking lots of paying research projects makes it even more difficult.

cb
 
Washington is what it is and it has been that way my entire life. I accept that it will never be a pristine open summit let alone a wilderness. The Cog is a lot older than me. However, just because a place has been "spoiled" (which is of course a very subjective term) doesn't mean we are at liberty to "spoil" it further. Washington is a unique experience but Adams will remain my favorite high peak in the northeast.
 
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I don't quite get this. Who'll be connecting dots?

I don't think the Obs staff has any skill/training in maintaining sophisticated comm gear. They work hard to keep the web cams (esp Wildcat's) online.

Without MTW on the summit is there a broadcast eng or RF person available on a daily basis.

WRT Research: Of the 5 projects listed on the web site, only one involves an external (to NH) entity. Most are UNH system-related.

Like space exploration, the summit Obs could probably be automated, especially if a non-mechanical wind speed measurement system (doppler?) was available. Keeping a crew of 5 people alive and comfortable in that environment is very expensive. And lacking lots of paying research projects makes it even more difficult.

cb

Mount Washington is home to a huge array of Emergency Communication Systems that are a critical link for that system to work. Alot of it is already automated but keeping the way clear to that system especially during Winter Months by humans in the event that the system does go down is critical. The Observatory Staff although not specifically trained as Electrical/RF Engineers are a piece of the chain that keeps the path clear.
 
A minor update. The Cog was in front of the Coos County Planning board recently. An application has not been filed so no public questions or comments allowed yet. It was mentioned that the rates would be $350 to $500 a night.

In addition to the planning board, they will need a ruling from the Coos county Zoning Board of Appeals this board exists on paper only at this point. . Unfortunately the only way to date to stop the project is in the hands of Coos County appointed boards. The elected Coos County Commissioners who appoint these boards are typically very supportive of local businesses expanding no matter what the general public cares. There still are dual petitions for and against the project but the against petition seems to be focused outside of Coos county.
 
A minor update. The Cog was in front of the Coos County Planning board recently. An application has not been filed so no public questions or comments allowed yet. It was mentioned that the rates would be $350 to $500 a night.

:eek: *cough* *sputter*
 
One of the stated customers would be the overflow of hikers from Lake of Crowds ;). When the cog owner mentions Lake of the Crowds he is sure to point out its primitive amenities. Heck I think I paid that much a night for bunk space along the Milford Track, it all depends on location and considering the OBS trips are apparently $1,000 a head these days., I don't expect they will have a lot of empty rooms.
 
I'd be interested in seeing their plan to see what they think their cost would be and when they would expect to actually turn a profit. (I think it would take years - maybe decades) It would be only reachable by foot traffic and train. Are you expected to just eat PB&J & Bulgur waffles at 350 - 500 a night? I'd expect the services associated with a price that steep, so you'd have to have a staff up there which would have to have places to live down low including a kitchen staff including chef's. (When I've stayed at huts, I've loved my meals but a hotel would have to have real chefs, or at least a co-op program with a Culinary School.)

Heat & running water? will they be running lines up the mountain along the tracks or down from the summit buildings? Are you running this place all year or just a few summer months? Oil, Nat Gas or other? delivery and storage or fossil fuels? (edited - now read the link, November would still require heat and a way to keep water from freezing, same with early May, it would straddle the track so the train would run through it or just have a covered exit? (350 - 500 to hear the train run through it & fumes I my room?))

I'll believe it when I see it (& then cry) as I don't think it makes financial or logistical sense, I'd put this project on a short list of soon to be bankrupt projects if they build it. Could this possibly be "fake news"?

If running in the winter, it would be a pain to ski down and then get to a lift service slope and it is my understanding that the ski train & skiing along the train corridor via the ski train was a short lived project that was not profitable or worthwhile as there was not enough terrain to make it more than a one time deal where skiers can say they did it.

I like the view from Adams and Monroe with the summit buildings far enough away to be quaint and historic & close enough to be recognizable. IMO, this building would have to be so large to provide the services and amenities expected at that price range to be a wicked eyesore.
 
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The business model is pure speculation at this point. As an example of what can (but not necessarily should be done). I had an opportunity a few years ago to go on the Routeburn and Milford Tracks in NZ. Its a guided trip by a for profit firm and seasonal. The huts are a short day apart along a very well built trail, sort of Crawford Path with a lot of crushed rock flown in. The Milford track has been run as guided hut to hut for over a 100 years, the Routeburn https://www.ultimatehikes.co.nz/en/guided-walks/the-routeburn-track is a newer track and had just replaced their huts in their entirety, there are no roads and the area is very wild, everything to build the huts had to be flown in and power is from generators (PV isn't very practical as the area is quite cloudy). The terrain is similar to Mt Washington although both huts are right below the edge of treeline. The huts are full service for at best 5 months every year. They are supplied by helicopter. The accommodations are a mix of bunk rooms and private rooms. Food is a definitely not gourmet but very high quality with a limited choice of entree's which makes for a lot less hassle for a kitchen staff. Costs for a trip staying in a bunkroom were $1,500. This is for two nights of accommodation plus 4 group guides and bus transportation to and from the trailheads. For simplicity assume 1/3 of the cost is for logistics and the other 2/3rd is accommodations so $500 a night minimum per person. While on the trip I was talking to one of their senior staff and he was quite open that what they do is look at what a night on a cruise ship would cost to set their prices. They assume that folks have a lot of recreational choices and that as long as they are competitive they will fill out the schedule of the trips by their reputation.

I don't see the cog going after people for multiday stays and as such I don't see where they have to have highly trained kitchen staff, folks are not there for the food as long as the staff does it well I don't think anyone will ding them for a limited menu. Logistically, everything the COG needs to support seasonal occupation is already being done on the summit. They are definitely angling for the state and possibly the autoroad to share the costs for running a sewer line to the base of the mountain. The power line was run several years ago. Water can be pumped up from the base station but I expect there may be higher sources. Ideally they would put in large tank under the new building sized for surge demand and fire protection that could be filled 24/7 from a low yield source and by going with ultra low water use fixtures they can sell the place as "green". The heating source is biodiesel that they are already using for the COG. Put in a bulk tank and that covers them. The tracks are usable 24/7 so they would just run utility shuttles as needed during off hours. The comment of running the cog through the building is not cast in stone. I expect the state fire marshall would object. I see them running the track over to the edge of the right of way and putting the building in the remainder of the right of way. I don't see this as a year round business as even the COG shuts down in winter. If built correctly, the facility could be drained and stabilized during the winter. The Cog could also access it via snow cat from the summit via their owned right of way.

Long ago there was study floating around by AMC of their future and one of the keys was that their membership is getting older and have expectations of higher end accommodations. The result was the Highland Center and the major investments in the 100 mile wilderness facilities. They keep the huts as a drawing card and when generous members want to donate money they spend it on hut upgrades. I expect that some VFTT folks may say they will be dead and buried before staying in the Highland Center but expect others have stayed there and enjoyed it. I see someone coming up from Boston, staying at the Highland center maybe hiking up to a Hut and then stopping by at the Cog for their last night out. Even in the era of the VFTT gatherings at least a portion of the group gravitated to local hotels. I wouldn't be surprised if after the Cog hotel was built that more than a few VFTT folks would end up staying there. It all comes down to priorities, the current shift in demographics is pushing the concept that folks are better off paying for experiences rather than stuff. A night on the side of Mt Washington above treeline in nice accommodations is something that I see a lot of folks willing to run their credit card. The east coast got the short end of the stick when it comes to National Park Lodges but out west folks pay similar costs to stay in the lodges.

The Cog currently is a cash generator, the owners have been making steady investments in the infrastructure and with the shift to biodiesel trains they have substantially increased the volume of customers for limited increase in staffing. They pretty well can charge what they want for rides up as its a destination activity for most so the obvious approach now is to reinvest that cash back into the business. Keep in mind they also reportedly made a bundle on the Mt Washington hotel previously after buying it after a second foreclosure in the depths of very deep real estate slump and reselling it during a real estate boom therefore they probably have few dollars in the bank sitting idle. Most projects that go bust are due to borrowing too much money, (something like the Balsams project will be awash in loans and I expect wont end well). I expect the Cog will have some short term loans but they will put a lot of their equity into it to retain control.

Business wise I expect that the owners have it planned out pretty well. As the real estate folks always explain Location, Location, Location and that's what the Cog has, effectively the US government is their neighbor and guarantees little or no competition, they just have to come up with business model that works and I expect that they have already run the numbers. What is a major bonus for the COG is unfortunately a potentially major blight on the presidential range, even though its adjacent to another major blight, the summit complex, its still a major new blight on the summit. To date the Fed hasn't said anything and expect that at best if they do anything at all it will be an advisory opinion as the Cog owners have made darn sure over the years that the fed has no control.

Much as I don't support the project, to date I haven't seen any real viable way to stop it. Sure I can waste a few electrons signing an online petition but the reality is that the entities who have the right to approve or disapprove could care less about the input except from county voters. The reality is that those who bother to vote in Coos County elections are quite few and they tend to support the "anything for a buck" method of long term planning. Even the state of NH has a vested interest in this as one of the most lucrative taxes in the state is the room and meals tax of 9%. The state is also angling for a solution to the growth issues on the summit and this project will help. On a statewide basis perception is going to be more important so the approach will be not necessarily come out in public for full support but not throw any roadblocks behind closed doors.
 
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People have been dreaming for a long time. About 20 years ago when my in laws were retiring and cleaning out their home they had lived in for almost 40 years I found a publication copyrighted 1912 by Chilsome Brothers, Publishers, Portland ,Maine titled "Views of the White Mountains". Lots of old B&W photos many showing the old Inns and Hotels at the time. Near the front of the publication there was a drawing that must have been inspired by some developer at the time.

IMG_0276.jpg
 
Okay the big guns have weighed in

http://www.berlindailysun.com/newsx...-oppose-cog-railway-s-plans-for-skyline-lodge

Its good news in way as they have the resources and legal advice to make sure all the rules are followed. The downside is AMC earned a really bad reputation of meddling in what the locals considered local decisions in the past (Reagan era) and it didn't end well for the AMC (they had to do an extensive and expensive EIS to justify keeping the huts). They ended up funding a position for a community activity supporter to support local conservation and outdoors efforts in order to redevelop some trust in the area but there is pretty solid opposition to them "meddling" in local decisions in the county political structure.
 
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