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Thread: Massive heat wave coming to North Conway area

  1. #1
    Senior Member B the Hiker's Avatar
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    Massive heat wave coming to North Conway area

    https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/USNH0169:1:US

    Highs of 59-63 and a twelve-day forecasted low of just 35!

    This is going to make for some interesting stream crossings!



    Brian
    Last edited by B the Hiker; 02-18-2017 at 06:27 PM.

  2. #2
    Senior Member NorthShore's Avatar
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    Not good. It needs to at least be freezing at night. Better get my licks in early in the week.

  3. #3
    Senior Member B the Hiker's Avatar
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    It could be worse...not a great time to be an ice climber at the moment!

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    Normally spring floods occur due to heavy rain acting as a catalyst to convert the snow pack into water on rare occasions it just takes an unusual warm spell. Its happened in the whites about 20 years ago. No rain just really warm weather, it caused significant issues as the rivers still had ice in them causing ice jams. RT 2 in Gorham was underwater and closed for about a day and Mr Pizza had water up to the building. This forecast looks very similar.

  5. #5
    Senior Member NorthShore's Avatar
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    While it is going to be warm, that TWC forecast is completely wacky. I find the NWS much more reliable:
    http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...3#.WKmj2nQo7qA

  6. #6
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    The snow pack is definitely "burning" quick up north. The local snow pack has easily dropped by a 1/3rd to a half over this past weekend.
    Last edited by peakbagger; 02-20-2017 at 10:35 AM.

  7. #7
    Senior Member DayTrip's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by peakbagger View Post
    The snow pack is definitely "burning quick up north. The local snow pack has easily dropped by a 1/3rd to a half over this past weekend.
    I went up yesterday and was pretty surprised at how normal everything looked. Was expecting huge snowbanks, drifts, etc but really nothing at all like that. I was pretty surprised by conditions on trails too. I attempted Zealand and the snow all the way up to Zeacliff outlook (where I threw in the towel) was wet and soft and the snow on tree branches had already melted off. I figured the lower elevations might be wetter but based on the temps of past few days I thought upper elevations would have been more powdery with drifting. Was a wet, well packed track from Rte 302 all the way to the outlook. Guess that warm up had a pretty quick impact on conditions.
    NH 48 4k: 48/48; NH W48k: 48/48; ME 4k: 2/14; VT 4k: 1/5; ADK 46: 6/46; Cat 3.5k 10/35

  8. #8
    Senior Member SherpaWill's Avatar
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    I climbed Willey's Slide on Saturday and the weather was outstanding. The ice had a lot of water under the surface which made things interesting. Tons of snow on the descent through the woods.

  9. #9
    Senior Member Mike P.'s Avatar
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    I believe the Friday Night Saturday forecast is for rain, look west at the line following the front. I'm with a scout group going to Pat's Peak in Henniker, warm in okay of the there is snow but a 40-45 degree rain may mean a lot of time indoors.

    Wouldn't look at taking the short cut across Lonesome Lake either.....
    Last edited by Mike P.; 02-21-2017 at 08:46 AM.
    Have fun & be safe
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  10. #10
    Senior Member B the Hiker's Avatar
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    As I write this (3pm on Thursday, Feb 23, it's 65 degrees in North Conway!

    Just as a benchmark, here are most recent snow depths at the stake, as reported by the caretakers:
    Lonesome Lake 45
    Highland Center 25
    Zealand Falls 38
    Carter Notch 45.5
    Observatory 70.6

    Let's see what it's like next week...



    Brian

  11. #11
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    Flood warnings in VT and the ADKs for the weekend due to the potential for snow pack collapse caused by a front with heavy rain coming through on Saturday.

    Still plenty of snow in my yard in Gorham but the snow is definitely starting to look like "rotten" spring snow. Doesn't take much rain to chew that stuff up.

    58" inches on 2/22 at Gray Knob (they update every Thursday). I expect the Wild River will be letting loose this weekend.

    This is way too early

  12. #12
    Senior Member TJsName's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by B the Hiker View Post
    As I write this (3pm on Thursday, Feb 23, it's 65 degrees in North Conway!

    Just as a benchmark, here are most recent snow depths at the stake, as reported by the caretakers:
    Lonesome Lake 45
    Highland Center 25
    Zealand Falls 38
    Carter Notch 45.5
    Observatory 70.6

    Let's see what it's like next week...



    Brian
    I wish they gave a water equivalent. The snow compacts over time, so the 45 inches now is a lot more dense than 45 a few weeks ago.

    Also, man was it hot today at Cannon!
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  13. #13
    Senior Member RollingRock's Avatar
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    Looks like it will get cooler Saturday night so waiting until Sunday to hike up Mt. Liberty. The trail should be frozen once more for MicroSpikes but the brook crossings might still be challenging. Hope to get up and down before the snow starts to get soft.
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  14. #14
    Senior Member DougPaul's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TJsName View Post
    I wish they gave a water equivalent. The snow compacts over time, so the 45 inches now is a lot more dense than 45 a few weeks ago.
    A snow water equivalent map can be found at http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interacti...nt=0&js=1&uc=0

    There are several snow water equivalent maps accessible from http://www.weather.gov/nerfc/snow

    Doug

  15. #15
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    The first batch of rain has started in the north country.

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