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Thread: Batten down the hatches, the weather hype is at its max

  1. #1
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    Batten down the hatches, the weather hype is at its max

    I guess Covid is getting old to draw in eyeballs on the media so weather hype on the local news is cranked up. I have even seen "Bomb Cyclone" (must be those Ruskies) getting dusted off. Winter sports are just sputtering up north due to lack of snow cover and the ski areas are getting pounded for lack of terrain reportedly due to lack of snowmakers due to the employment crunch. Despite the lack of snow depth and inability to groom trails, snowmobile rentals are ongoing after some snow last week and the results were lots of crashes last weekend, many somewhat related to lack of snow depth, as when trails are groomed with deeper snow, the side of the trail can act like bumper cushions to keep inexperienced riders on the trail.

    If the hype cycle continues, the hype will go hard core until Friday morning when the models finally agree, by then folks will have made their non refundable reservations and plans to head north. Berlin is running at half normal snow depth this winte,r even a big storm will not make up the deficit. If the summits do get a dump I expect the avalanche danger will be high as the layer underneath is pretty solid. At least its week or two early for President's day weeks.

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    Senior Member ChrisB's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by peakbagger View Post
    I guess Covid is getting old to draw in eyeballs on the media so weather hype on the local news is cranked up. I have even seen "Bomb Cyclone" (must be those Ruskies) getting dusted off. Winter sports are just sputtering up north due to lack of snow cover and the ski areas are getting pounded for lack of terrain reportedly due to lack of snowmakers due to the employment crunch. Despite the lack of snow depth and inability to groom trails, snowmobile rentals are ongoing after some snow last week and the results were lots of crashes last weekend, many somewhat related to lack of snow depth, as when trails are groomed with deeper snow, the side of the trail can act like bumper cushions to keep inexperienced riders on the trail....
    Some of us just need consistent cold to be happy in our pursuits

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    Last edited by ChrisB; Yesterday at 07:53 AM.
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    The running joke at our house which was repeated after watching the local forecast this morning, "I guess we'll get one & a half to three inches." Which has been the results from quite a few of the last predicted winners here. And that is what regularly falls here mostly when not even forecast for more than passing showers. There are actually pretty ideal snow conditions in our locality for low impact snow sports, that has added up to a pretty durable base with nice fluff on top. Highly variable though as a friend from the west hills of Littleton had a dusting Monday morning where we had over 2 inches.

    I wonder sometimes if I should be careful what I wish for; as I was peering out from my cellar door the other day, and wondered just how happy I would be if there was over 4 feet of snow on the ground? And I had been looking forward to a trip to Massachusetts this weekend.

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    Senior Member Rhody Seth's Avatar
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    Bah. I had made plans for another attempt at an Owl's Head overnight this weekend but the weather seems destined to thwart me this season.

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    I think if one were to dig through the climate records they will find that the northern whites traditionally got more snow from west to east storms earlier int he winter than Northeasters which generally are coastal. I remember several winters where I would go through stretches of Alberta Clippers for one to two weeks that really added up. Northeasters usually hit the southern slopes while the whites act as a terrain wall to put Northern NH on the fringes of storms. With a warmer Gulf of Maine temperature storms coastal storms are traveling farther north but they tend to be wet events. There does seem to be shift in snow depths to Western Maine (Andover Rumford area) from the northern whites as that area does not have terrain wall to hide behind.

    Of course, the Gulf Stream circulation is reportedly at a record low and some predictions indicate it may stop, that is going to change all the weather patterns in the Atlantic Basin big time. No doubt us old folks will see some aspects of it but kids are going to get to see the results of being guinea pigs to the global climate experiment.

  6. #6
    Senior Member skiguy's Avatar
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    Winter has been been really good so far. Multiple activities have been able to happen. I guess some see the glass half full and others half empty. I have been able to Winter Hike, Ice Climb, Alpine and Nordic ski so far. We have also had some really nice light for Photography. Sunsets have been epic! Have a couple of bigger trips planned and looking forward to enjoying the rest of Winter. It is only the end of January. Plenty of more fun to come.
    Last edited by skiguy; Yesterday at 12:36 PM.
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    Senior Member DayTrip's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by skiguy View Post
    It is only the end of January. Plenty of more fun to come.
    Indeed. Mid-Feb to Apr seems to be "Winter" now for the Northeast. Right around the time I start thinking Winter is a no-show and start thinking about Spring all the bomb cyclones begin to stage and unleash a deluge of shoveling and snow throwing on me. We're close....
    “Sometimes when you’ve lost something in your life that matters, the only thing left to do is go and find it.” Renan Ozturk

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    Senior Member Mike P.'s Avatar
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    From what I saw today, SE CT, RI and the Cape could get the bulk of the storm and wind. Where will Cantore be Friday & Saturday? So far, the Mid-Atlantic and even a bit south have been getting more than normal. If I was hiking this weekend, it's still too early to change plans. (This weekend the local BSA Council has their winter Klondike, it we do get a significant snow event, will they postpone it?) Addendum, they did postpone it.

    Latest update is it will ramp up more to the east. VT and the ADK may not get any. They are just saying we will get "plowable snow". OTOH, I've been on a day-hike to Waumbek in the past when flurries were called for and I had two or three inches on my car. In CT, that's a storm.
    Last edited by Mike P.; Yesterday at 10:19 PM. Reason: content
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  9. #9
    Senior Member sierra's Avatar
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    This winter has been fantastic hiking for me and my dog. This storm looks like it might veer east and I hope it does. Lean and mean is the conditions we like. My observation so far is not as many people are out.

  10. #10
    Moderator bikehikeskifish's Avatar
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    On Sunday, Waterville Valley was predicted to get 14"
    On Monday, it was 11"
    On Tuesday, it was 9"
    This AM it was 5"
    Right now it is 2.5"

    At this rate, someone is going to come and take what little snow is there for XC skiing away!

    Tim
    Bike, Hike, Ski, Sleep. Eat, Fish, Repeat.

  11. #11
    Senior Member skiguy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bikehikeskifish View Post
    On Sunday, Waterville Valley was predicted to get 14"
    On Monday, it was 11"
    On Tuesday, it was 9"
    This AM it was 5"
    Right now it is 2.5"

    At this rate, someone is going to come and take what little snow is there for XC skiing away!

    Tim
    Does Waterville have an app for that? It’s always been lean there for XC. Jackson, Great Glen, and Bretton Woods is always proved better in the equation for me in the last 4 decades.
    "I'm getting up and going to work everyday and I am stoked. That does not suck!"__Shane McConkey

  12. #12
    Moderator bikehikeskifish's Avatar
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    Waterville is closest. Bretton is next closest. The rest are not really great day trips from the south. Waterville has usually had the best grooming. I’ve been skiing there for 25 years now and this might be the second or third leanest year I can recall.

    I’ve seen pictures and read reports and Bretton and Jackson aren’t doing all that much better from the sounds of it. Base depth right now is about 3-6" vs 18-24" last year around now.

    Tim
    Last edited by bikehikeskifish; Yesterday at 09:38 PM.

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